By 2001 Western Europe comprised 6.4% of the worlds population and at this time, the entirety of the West/Western European population of the world was approximately 14%. History, and moreover recent history, is littered with examples of the type of military engagement Senator Lambie is identifying. 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This is the real war. The Chinese government has set about actively creating a burgeoning middle-class in part to have a greater tax base, to extract people from gruelling, chronic poverty and to in general raise the living standards of citizens. Prior to making any judgements this mix of pros and cons has to be examined more closely, starting with the former. How did it satisfy the demands of its ever-growing middle-classes? A war . This means that we may include adverts from us and third parties based on our knowledge of you. There, By Terry OBrien The LNP, so called conservatives, bought themselves many terms in, The global pandemic was not completely catastrophic in its effects. Chinas Per-Capita GDP has Led to a Drastic Reduction in Poverty., http://www.gallup.com/poll/166565/one-five-worldwide-living-extreme-poverty.aspx, [12] Jemima Garrett and staff. Ill give a dollar to anyone who actually read all that. China has moved in a truly global direction and is on a pathway that was triggered, and then further stimulated, by Premier Deng Xiaoping who started the process in the mid-1980s. It would be the nightmare from hell to contain. The evidence is Americas slow reaction to commenting on and having a greater involvement in the South China Sea tensions in a more immediate manner which is in direct contrast to its role in the Cold War years. The two-minute-long advert suggests that the Chinese government has been working with Australian politicians in buying businesses on the countrys shores. What is bound to happen in the near future however, is the A-P region will become increasingly contested, and the disputes will become protracted. But the YouTube video has been met with criticism from experts. Sociologist Steven Pinker has demonstrated that in fact violence has been reducing over the millenia. This is where I place Australia with regard to China (providing it stays on its current foreign policy/policies pathway). Lets for a moment entertain the improbable: the Chinese political-military leadership decides to launch a major offensive against mainland Australia. Based on history, a war is in the making. The End of History and the Last Man. Something went wrong, please try again later. This factor, in the first instance is where there are ongoing and developing difficulties. The Chinese are already quietly invading us in droves, buying up huge amounts of property and investment. [14] David Tweed and Sangwon Yoon. The progress became an ever-upward spiral in which the dictums of modern nation-statehood that is, economic growth equalling stable investment environments for Western enterprises were ones that offered ongoing prosperity; and the middle-class continuum. And that was when I was a child !! I kind of see it from the opposite angle. Another potential problem that the ADF may face in this scenario is endurance, particularly if Australia is fighting alone. The wild claims continue later in the advert, with former Royal Australian Navy commander Phil Collins saying it has the facilities to support and sustain large-scale naval operations. Gosh and golly. And we are afraid of China? The schemata upon which the West has developed its societal modality is one of a thriving and burgeoning middle-class, and this has been encouraged in other societies by the West in order for the West to meet its own needs, and in doing this the West has had other societies contribute to its progress. Hence, China will, like the Spanish, French, British and Americans before it, have to use extramural preponderance to get what it needs for its populace. And correspondingly, where to place the US? The US, their nemesis in the Great Game, is diminished. That means ending all Muslim immigration forthwith, closing Mosques, Madrases, Islamic book shops and cultural centres and the reversal of the numbers of Muslims in Australia, by removal or natural attrition. Try again. They have too many internal problems to contemplate any sort of world conflict. I see China recovering its position as the premier country in Asia and re-establishing its control, or influence where control was not required, over the countries in its periphery. And the gold and silver theyve vacuumed up in recent years rise in value more than enough to offset their depreciating Treasury bonds. AN AIRSTRIP in the arid Australian desert could be used for a full-scale invasion from China. Driven by the need to close the capability gap with their Russian counterparts, with which the PLA trains regularly and takes its inspiration from, it will be some time before its Airborne Corps will be able to support long distance strategic assault operations. Jacqui Lambie warns that a Chinese invasion of Australia is a frightening possibility. The time of this dominance is coming to an end, as China is on the rise. We are proud, as with every other Ukrainian in Australia, to proclaim that Ukraine stands: Ukraine stands strong, Ukraine stands proud, and, most importantly, Ukraine stands free. Have to say this article is laced heavily with pessimism and fear mongering and while perhaps philosophical in its undertaking, it doesnt hit the mark. China must be offered a bigger role in the Asia-Pacific. The Age, Melbourne: Fairfax Publishing Ltd, 10 June, 2014, 16. Operationally and tactically the ADF should ready to function in a combat setting where no domain control is guaranteed against a superior and determined enemy, who may also be less susceptible to sustaining heavy losses. The inherent problems of continuous growth notwithstanding, what is happening in China today happened in Great Britain as the latter part of the Industrial Revolution (IR) gained momentum circa 1800 onwards. But I will leave that to your own research if you happen to see peace as an alternative to war and the arming for war as an economic backbone to western civilisation in the 21st century. Australia ignores this threat at its own peril. There is no reason to think that if Australia continues on its current pathway of antagonism in the region especially toward Muslim countries that there would be enough impetus for China to believe a limited invasion would not be successful. A superior military air force could, in effect, control all of Western Australias resources in the Pilbara and the North West Shelf gas reserves.. China has been quick to capitalise on this with gaining deeper connections with Indonesia. Offensive strike can be interpreted as a series of limited or larger scale prolonged long-distance kinetic and cyber offensive actions, conducted remotely. That's according to Dr Malcolm Davis, a senior analyst from the Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI), who is an expert on defence strategy and capability issues. This in turn has allowed the US to build a global military empire, a cradle-to-grave entitlement system, and a credit-based consumer culture, without having to worry about where to find the funds. Remember our diplomats are not representative of our government and as career bureaucrats have a much more subtle take on diplomacy and very personal cntacts with its leaders. Australia is playing a key role in the global fight against Russia, something all Australians should be proud of, says a leading MP. There is a statement that I adhere to, and it is Roosevelt when he was Secretary of State in 1921 basically admitted he knew Japan would eventually attack America, (due to the way the West had treated Japan, that would be the British, Dutch and the Americans) he just didnt know when. Despite its massive standing force, including noticeable improvements to its amphibious assault element, it is not fit to conduct a successful cross-strait amphibious invasion of nearby Taiwan (Chinas number one strategic and operational priority), let alone engage in a long distance strategic hypothetical such as an invasion of Australia. Note that preparation is NOT the same as Shannon Brandao on LinkedIn: U.S., UK and Australia carry out China-focused air drills particularly June Bullivant. I wonder why the Chinese are bulding the bases in the south china sea now. Thankyou for your comments, very robust and informative for me. @ stephengb: I cannot hep wondering why discussions about taxation. This is a well written, well constructed article, but I find the premise on which it is based implausible. In the context of this analysis an attack includes an actual attempt to deploy adversarial offensive military power on Australias shores. CIA has intelligence that Xi ordered the military to "be ready" to invade #Taiwan by 2027, Reuters reports. Kaye Lee, Nail hit firmly on the head. This article was first posted on Strobes blog Geo-Strategic Orbit and has been reproduced with permission. Consequently, in theory, a skilled and determined adversary, which can: mobilise and deploy a sizeable invasion force capable of reaching our shores; demonstrate sufficient capability and operational experience in large-scale protracted amphibious operations; and deploy a potent logistical enabler; could overcome the ADFs resistance and secure territory. In the process of the West winning however, there has also been double-standards along the way which have undermined the faith and confidence in Western governance and the damage this has caused should not be underestimated. Malcolm Davis, a senior analyst at the Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI), said that in the case of war breaking out between China and Taiwan, Australia would be pulled into the conflict by the US. On April 25, the symbolic date of Anzac Day, when Australia honors its war dead, newly appointed Defense Minister Peter Dutton said a conflict with China over Taiwan shouldn't "be discounted,". Australia could not repel military aircraft if they landed from carriers offshore, he goes on to say. The ADF should be readying itself for a conflict with a major military power. September 16, 2022 - 1:07AM China could potentially invade Taiwan in the next decade and Australia could be come a key target in the conflict that would follow. These are clear examples of preponderance and to believe China is not on a similar pathway modelled on British and American history is to deliberately ignore the evidence. And as we are such a heavily multi-cultural community, I dont think anyone notices anymore, whos who or where they came from, except maybe for their accents. However, this does not necessarily equate to protecting Australia per se. The US would expect Australia to contribute air and naval forces such as warships HMAS Hobart and HMAS Stalwart, seen here with Japanese and US in the South China Sea last year. China snubs US proposal at ASEAN. The Age. You can upload: image, audio, video, document, spreadsheet, interactive, text, archive, code, other. How are we going to survive if we deliberately ignore threats for fear of offending someone? Geography still plays a very important part in war. The truth of the matter resides in the history of the US as per WWII being a European war until the bombing of Pearl Harbor forced the US to face the realities of the conflict, and the undeniable reality is that an Australia-China military collision would not necessarily be an urgent priority for the US. "China need not attempt to invade Australia to subdue it; it may only need to establish a blockade which, with the world's largest coast guard, 10,000-tonne "maritime safety" vessels, and . Military Invasion alert after China crosses line. Could you imagine well funded gorilla network in Australia. [4] http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-08-19/japan-expands-their-military-amid-growing-tensions-with-china/5672932 Australia Network News, 19 August,, 2014. But the YouTube video has been reducing over the millenia a very important part in war I...: Fairfax Publishing Ltd, 10 June, 2014 there are ongoing developing. 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